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n = number of years to develop a new microprocessor divided by 2 (ie. Po = computer processing power in the beginning year Pn = computer processing power in future years At that point the law cannot be sustained Eventually miniaturization will lead to atomic level He then says "we may have to go to molecular computers and perhaps late in the 21st century quantum computers". Kaku says that when Moore's law finally collapse by the end of the next decade, we will simply tweak it a bit with chip-like computers in three dimensions. Computer power simply cannot maintain its rapid exponential rise using standard silicon technology". In fact all ready we see a slowing down of Moore's law. "In about ten years or so, we will see the collapse of Moore's law. He's talking about the so-called law that says the number of transistors that can be fit on a computer chip will double every 18 months, resulting in periodic increases in computing power. Moores law is said to be breaking down, according to theoretical physicist Michio Kaku. The exponential growth of Moore's Law will continue beyond the use of integrated circuits into technologies that will lead to technological singularity The exponential improvement has dramatically enhanced the impact of digital electronics in nearly every segment of the world economy. All of these are improving at (roughly) exponential rates. Processing Speed, Memory capacity, sensors, and even the size of pixels in digital cameras
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The capabilities of many digital electronic devices are strongly linked to Moore's law: The contribution of Moore's Law has given rise to the reduction in the robust structure of devices to handy gadgets over these decades Man's constant struggle to advance knowledge Successive technologies providing better design tools Manufacturers wishing to keep up with the law Some factors that contribute to Moore's Law: The explosion in the size of computing components can't go on forever, given the laws of physics.Ĭramming more and more, smaller and smaller, faster and faster components onto computer chips will generate more and more heat. The explosion in computing power comes from an explosion in the size of computing components. The primary method of Moore's observation has been to make wires and transistors that transmit and process information smaller and smaller. If you think you've seen a lot change so far, you ain't seen nothing yet! Some of those things will be absolutely new, without any traditional precedents Moore's Law makes it virtually certain that two or four or six or more years from now, we'll be doing more things we didn't expect to do with electronic devices. The answer is that Moore's Law effectively means that approximately every two years personal computers and other electronic devices can do twice as many new, innovative, and unexpected things than before
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Moore's Law means ever-more powerful personal computers for less and less moneyĪ computer chip that contained 2,000 transistors and cost $1,000 in 1970, $500 in 1972, $250 in 1974, and $0.97 in 1990 costs less than $0.02 to manufacture todayĪ personal computer that cost $3,000 in 1990, $1,500 in 1992, and $750 in 1994 would now cost about $5
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It is specifically stated that the number of transistors on an affordable CPU would double about every 18 month's but more transistors is more accurate according to the prediction of Moore Different computer companies show that the term is not very popular but the rule is still accepted + A practical way to think about something Deals with steady rate miniaturization of technology The law states that processor speeds, or overall processing power for computers will double about every 18 month's Since the 1970s, the power of computers has doubled every year or and a half, yielding computers which are millions of times more powerful than their ancestors of a half century ago Moores Law is a computing term, which originated around the 1970's Moore's Law (published in an article Apin Electronics Magazine). The law was named after Intel cofounder Gordon E.